NC State

ACC
7-5
247.8
PASS YDS/G
150.6
RUSH YDS/G
30.2
PTS FOR/G
28.8
PTS AGAINST/G
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model ยท 2025
Overall
4.8
#55 Nationally
Offense
31.4
#45 Nationally
Defense
25.5
#64 Nationally
Special Teams
-1.2
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
16.1
2021
#14
6.8
2022
#49
7.4
2023
#39
3.9
2024
#56
4.8
2025
#55
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#34
214.2 pts
2024 Class
#27
225.0 pts
2023 Class
#43
204.1 pts
2022 Class
#64
171.3 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
14.9%
Front 7 Havoc
8.4%
DB Havoc
6.5%
Off Field Pos
72.1 yd line
Advanced Stats โ€” Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams ยท Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80โ€“99
60โ€“79
45โ€“59
25โ€“44
1โ€“24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
85
0.279
Success Rate
63
43.8%
Explosiveness
90
1.376
Power Success
51
72.7%
Stuff Rate
18
21.3%
Line Yards / Carry
50
2.94
2nd Level Yards
46
1.06
Open Field Yards
82
1.64
Rush EPA / Play
76
0.187
Pass EPA / Play
82
0.39
Rush Success Rate
53
43.8%
Pass Success Rate
68
44.2%
Rush Explosiveness
86
1.096
Pass Explosiveness
76
1.639
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
25
0.208
Success Rate Allowed
71
39.2%
Explosiveness Allowed
1
1.443
Power Success Allowed
81
65.2%
Stuff Rate
52
19.3%
Line Yards Allowed
53
2.87
2nd Level Yds Allowed
63
1.01
Open Field Yds Allowed
46
1.21
Rush EPA Allowed
41
0.117
Pass EPA Allowed
34
0.297
Rush Success Allowed
86
38.0%
Pass Success Allowed
60
40.3%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
9
1.094
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
14
1.699
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" โ€” gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and โ‰ค2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5โ€“10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#68
Peters
LT
#54
Andersen
LG
#51
Cruz
C
#76
Gibbs
RG
#79
Smith
RT
#12
Hoffmann
WR1
#44
Hardy
TE
#8
Jackson
WR2
#11
Bailey
QB
#4
Scott
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds โ†“ TD INT Pct Y/A
01 259 372 2884 23 9 69.6% 7.8
02 1 1 59 1 0 100.0% 59.0
03 2 6 18 0 0 33.3% 3.0
04 3 5 16 0 1 60.0% 3.2
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
D
Daylan Smothers
โ€” 939 5.9 6 65
02 โ€” 487 5.6 4 69
03 โ€” 215 2.6 5 30
04 โ€” 145 3.7 9 16
05 โ€” 12 1.5 0 7
06 โ€” 10 3.3 0 7
07 โ€” 4 4.0 0 4
08 โ€” 2 2.0 0 2
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01
T
Terrell Anderson
38 637 16.8 5 75
02 47 468 10.0 7 59
03 28 410 14.6 2 48
04
N
Noah Rogers
29 376 13.0 2 48
05 24 309 12.9 2 55
06 27 258 9.6 2 33
07
D
Daylan Smothers
37 189 5.1 1 24
08 15 132 8.8 0 28
09 4 70 17.5 2 37
10 6 52 8.7 1 15
11 3 25 8.3 0 11
12 2 20 10.0 0 12
13
T
Tank Boston
2 11 5.5 0 6
14 1 9 9.0 0 9
15 1 7 7.0 0 7
16 1 4 4.0 0 4
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot โ†“ TFL Sacks Int PD
01 55 โ€” 130 8 3 โ€” 3
02
K
Kenny Soares Jr.
30 โ€” 68 3 0 โ€” 2
03 34 โ€” 57 0 0 โ€” 2
04 21 โ€” 56 6 1 โ€” 1
05 26 โ€” 47 1 0 โ€” 1
06 18 โ€” 44 3 0 โ€” 1
07 25 โ€” 42 1 0 โ€” 5
08 30 โ€” 42 0 0 โ€” 14
09 15 โ€” 38 7 2 โ€” 3
10 12 โ€” 35 6 2 โ€” โ€”
11 15 โ€” 27 1 0 โ€” 5
12 17 โ€” 24 0 0 โ€” 5
13 11 โ€” 23 0 0 โ€” โ€”
14 6 โ€” 23 5 3 โ€” โ€”
15 11 โ€” 22 5 3 โ€” 1
16 7 โ€” 19 0 0 โ€” โ€”
17 6 โ€” 17 0 0 โ€” 1
18 5 โ€” 15 1 0 โ€” โ€”
19 6 โ€” 12 0 0 โ€” โ€”
20 5 โ€” 11 1 0 โ€” โ€”
21 6 โ€” 10 5 1 โ€” โ€”
22 4 โ€” 9 0 0 โ€” โ€”
23
J
Jivan Baly
5 โ€” 9 0 0 โ€” โ€”
24 2 โ€” 9 0 0 โ€” โ€”
25 4 โ€” 7 0 0 โ€” โ€”
26
K
Kelvon Mcbride
2 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
27 2 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
28 โ€” โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
29 3 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
30 1 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
31 1 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
32
D
Daylan Smothers
2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
33 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
34 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
35 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
36 โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
37 โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
38 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
39 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
40
N
Noah Rogers
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” 1
41 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
42 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
43 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
44 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
45 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
46 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
4 5 80.0% 38
N
Nick Koniecznski
1 3 33.3% 29
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
52 2265 43.6 66
Offense
49 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
CJ Bailey #11
QB 6'6" 210 lbs So
QB 6'3" 225 lbs So
QB 6'3" 211 lbs Sr
QB 5'11" 196 lbs So
QB 6'5" 190 lbs Fr
QB 6'1" 228 lbs Fr
QB 6'0" 201 lbs So
RB 5'10" 175 lbs Fr
RB 5'9" 183 lbs So
RB 5'11" 215 lbs So
RB 5'10" 205 lbs So
RB 5'8" 195 lbs Fr
RB 5'10" 214 lbs Fr
WR 6'0" 195 lbs Fr
WR 5'7" 183 lbs Fr
Sam Dodd #28
WR 6'2" 195 lbs Fr
WR 6'2" 185 lbs Jr
WR 6'4" 205 lbs So
WR 6'1" 172 lbs Fr
WR 6'3" 205 lbs Fr
WR 6'3" 200 lbs So
WR 6'1" 186 lbs Fr
WR 5'9" 182 lbs Fr
WR 6'2" 190 lbs So
WR 5'8" 168 lbs Jr
WR 6'1" 180 lbs So
TE 6'6" 272 lbs Sr
TE 6'3" 225 lbs Fr
Ian Flynt #86
TE 6'4" 270 lbs Fr
TE 6'4" 268 lbs Sr
TE 6'6" 242 lbs Fr
TE 6'5" 260 lbs Fr
TE 6'2" 235 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 319 lbs So
OL 6'3" 312 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 304 lbs Fr
OL 6'1" 294 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 323 lbs So
OL 6'6" 308 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 307 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 319 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 331 lbs Sr
OL 6'2" 280 lbs Fr
OT 6'4" 313 lbs Jr
OT 6'5" 323 lbs So
OL 6'2" 300 lbs Fr
OL 6'1" 297 lbs Jr
OT 6'5" 275 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 285 lbs Fr
Defense
60 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
DE 6'3" 265 lbs Jr
DE 6'3" 271 lbs Fr
DE 6'4" 272 lbs Fr
DE 6'3" 270 lbs Fr
DE 6'4" 283 lbs Sr
DE 6'3" 276 lbs So
DE 6'5" 241 lbs Fr
DT 6'1" 286 lbs Fr
DT 6'2" 253 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 280 lbs So
DL 6'3" 245 lbs Fr
DL 6'4" 292 lbs Jr
AJ Prim #43
DL 6'2" 287 lbs So
DL 6'4" 310 lbs Fr
DL 6'2" 320 lbs Fr
DL 6'2" 317 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 233 lbs Jr
LB 6'0" 200 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 210 lbs Fr
LB 5'11" 181 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 221 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 250 lbs Jr
LB 6'0" 209 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 200 lbs Fr
LB 5'11" 190 lbs So
LB 6'1" 210 lbs Fr
LB 6'0" 215 lbs So
LB 6'0" 186 lbs So
LB 6'3" 234 lbs So
LB 6'1" 245 lbs Jr
LB 5'10" 232 lbs So
LB 6'4" 250 lbs Sr
LB 6'3" 228 lbs Sr
LB 5'11" 227 lbs Fr
CB 6'1" 185 lbs Jr
CB 5'8" 165 lbs Fr
CB 6'1" 187 lbs Fr
CB 5'11" 191 lbs Sr
CB 6'2" 177 lbs Fr
CB 5'11" 200 lbs Sr
CB 6'0" 191 lbs So
CB 6'1" 179 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 170 lbs Fr
CB 6'2" 172 lbs So
CB 6'0" 182 lbs Jr
S 6'0" 192 lbs Fr
DB 6'0" 188 lbs Fr
S 5'11" 185 lbs Jr
DB 5'11" 184 lbs Jr
DB 6'0" 195 lbs Fr
S 6'3" 190 lbs So
S 6'3" 211 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 200 lbs Jr
S 5'10" 190 lbs Sr
King Mack #16
S 5'10" 187 lbs Jr
S 6'1" 202 lbs So
S 5'10" 174 lbs Fr
S 5'9" 185 lbs Fr
S 5'11" 180 lbs Fr
DB 5'10" 185 lbs So
Special Teams
6 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
Owen Fehr #96
P 5'11" 175 lbs So
P 6'5" 190 lbs Fr
P 6'6" 220 lbs Sr
P 6'3" 206 lbs Fr
LS 6'0" 213 lbs So
Jake Mann #95
LS 5'10" 232 lbs Sr